Recent data on global dairy prices shows a positive rise that looks as if it
The average price in the Global Dairy Trade auction overnight rose by 7.7 per cent. This followed two consecutive rises in the past month, with a 12.7
percent increase in prices at the most recent auction, while the important whole milk powder (WMP) price rose by 3.7 per cent.
These results have driven the index to an 18 month high.
Analysts are predicting further rises in the global milk price which suggests that the worst might be behind us and we may start to see some stability
return to the global milk supply. This will hopefully occur through rebalancing of supply and demand due to cut backs in EU production, intervention
buying of SMP (skim milk powder) in Europe and increased buying in China.
Although these increases are nowhere near enough to return to sustainable prices it is pleasing to see that prices are on the rise and things may be looking
better in the long term.
Unfortunately, the most optimistic scenarios see the market turning in any meaningful way in the first quarter of 2017.
As dairy farmers we have a limited capacity to manage the market price so it is important to always focus on what we can manage, remain aware of industry
risks and maintain a low cost production system so we are in a better position to weather any storms.
While we are an industry that has been under intense pressure, we are also an industry that has the know-how and resilience to overcome adversity and thrive
in the long term.
ADF, together with our state members, is continuing to fight for farmers. Even though we won’t be able to solve all of the issues farmers are facing, we
are working to relieve some of the pressures to create change to ensure that an unfair share of the risk in the value chain is not taken by the farmer
and that recent events in the industry don’t happen again.
Collaboration is the key to get us where we need to be. Our industry relies on all the elements to operate effectively. Farmers need processors and vice
versa – so the solutions require all of us to come together to ensure a positive future.
While we wait for the uptick in prices we must remember that we are a resilient industry with a long, sustainable future ahead and our profitability depends
greatly on the continued support of the Australian public.
It is important to remind the community that dairy farmers – regardless of the challenges they face are good business people, who care for their cows,
work to enhance the well-being of their people and that every efficiency we make on farm has ties to minimising our impact of the environment.
To view the global dairy price index [click here]
Acting ADF President